Credit Access in South Africa: An analysis on sources of lending flag

by Santhosh Srinivasan

 

money

 

 

Introduction

Improving credit access to the poor in South Africa has been an issue since independence. Following the end of the apartheid era, credit access to the poor has improved a little. This research paper tries to understand access to credit to South Africans in two different time periods, 1993 and 2004 and analyzes the changes in sources of lending to the majority in South Africa. There have been changes in the ten years between 1993 and 2004. There is an increase in the number of black households who reported having access to formal sources of credit in 2004 compared to 1993. However, this increase does not seem to be significantly big.

The paper uses survey data from these two time periods using the surveys conducted by the Southern African Labor Development and Research Unit.Sources of credit were classified into two groups formal credit (bank loans, employer credit) and informal credit (loans from moneylenders, friends and relatives). The paper carries a detailed descrptive analysis of the relationship between race and the source of borrowing. This paper also attempts to find factors that may have a causal effect on household debt like income, type of credit source, gender of the head of the household using the 1993 survey data. All these three factors were found to be statistically significant when a regression analysis was conducted. The statistical analysis for the 2004 data primarily depends on descriptive statistics and graphs to show the patterns of borrowing from different sources. The analysis is divided by racial groups to differentiate between the sources of credit predominantly used by the different racial groups.

We use the Statistical software package STATA for performaing all the statistical analysis.

 

Variables of Interest-SALDRU (Top of page)

The first dataset is the saldru100 dataset obtained from a household survey conducted in 1993. This dataset has more information regarding household debt and sources of borrowing. The main variable of interest here is the amount of debt each household has. This variable has been coded as "bond_owe". The "bond_owe" variable is a household level variable, meaning everyone in the household has the same value for this variable, that indicates the level of debt each household has.

sort hhid

list hhid bond_owe

406. |   4008      50000 |
  407. |   4008      50000 |
  408. |   4008      50000 |
  409. |   4008      50000 |
  410. |   4008      50000 |
       |-------------------|
  411. |   4008      50000 |
  412. |   4008      50000 |
  413. |   4008      50000 |
  414. |   4008      50000 |
  415. |   4008      50000 |
       |-------------------|
  416. |   4008      50000 |

 

To ensure we count a household level variable value only once in our analysis, I created this variable called "house". The code is:

gen house=1 if hhid!=hhid[_n-1]

This compares each household id with the previous id and only includes households when two consecutive id's are different thereby counting households only once.

I also reshaped the variables that indicated how much each household owed to different lenders by creating variables to indicate different sources of borrowings:

Code for reshaping data for individual sources of credit variables:

use "C:\Documents and Settings\Santhosh\My Documents\Course Materials\Fall 2006\SA project\M3_NFS5.DTA", clear

* rename variables to make final wide data cleaner
rename debt_owe owe
rename debt_rep rep

* reshape data from long to wide form
reshape wide owe rep, i(hhid) j(debt_c)

* sort data for merge
sort hhid

* save new data file
save "C:\Documents and Settings\Santhosh\My Documents\Course Materials\Fall 2006\SA project\M3_NFS5_wide.DTA", replace

* open saldru100 data file
use "C:\Documents and Settings\Santhosh\My Documents\Course Materials\Fall 2006\SA project\saldru100.DTA", clear

* sort data for merge
sort hhid

* merge m3_nfs5_wide and saldru100
merge hhid using "C:\Documents and Settings\Santhosh\My Documents\Course Materials\Fall 2006\SA project\M3_NFS5_wide.DTA"

* check status of merge
tab _merge
drop _merge

* label new data file
lab dat "Santhosh's PubPol 731 Project Data"

* save new data file
save "C:\Documents and Settings\Santhosh\My Documents\Course Materials\Fall 2006\SA project\project.DTA", replace

* delete temp data files
erase "C:\Documents and Settings\Santhosh\My Documents\Course Materials\Fall 2006\SA project\M3_NFS5_wide.DTA"


The above recode created a set of new variables called owe representing the different sources:

owe1 Money owed to family members/friends
owe2 Money owed to government agency
owe3 Money owed to landlord
owe4 Money owed to banks or building societies
owe5 Money owed to NGOs
owe6 Money owed to money lender
owe7 Money owed to stokvel/credit union
owe8 Money owed to burial services
owe9 Money owed to employer
owe10 Money owed to hire purchase
owe11 Money owed to shopekeeper credit
owe12 Money owed to other sources

Using the above created "owe" variables I created another variable to indicate if a house had a loan or not. This variable is named "haveloans". This is a binary variable with a value of 1 indicating a household had a loan from one the of the above mentioned sources and 0 for houses without a loan.

gen haveloans=1 if owe1!=.|owe2!=.|owe3!=.|owe4!=.|owe5!=.|owe6!=.|owe7!=.|owe8!=.|owe9!=.|owe10!=.|owe11!=.|owe12!=.
(22776 missing values generated)

replace haveloans=0 if haveloans==.
(22776 real changes made)

The other variables of interest in saldru dataset are the race variables which is coded as "race". This helps in dividing the analysis for each racial category in the data.

tab race if house==1

19 |
:population |
group | Freq. Percent Cum.
------------+-----------------------------------
01-afric | 6,069 74.52 74.52
02-colou | 658 8.08 82.60
03-india | 245 3.01 85.61
04-white | 1,172 14.39 100.00
------------+-----------------------------------
Total | 8,144 100.00

I also created a variable to categorize the sourecs of borrowing into formal and informal sources of lending. This variable is an indicator variable for informal sources of lending.

Categorize into formal and informal loans:

The loans were categorized as informal and formal loans. Borrowing from family members/friends, moneylender, shopkeepers,  and hire purchase were categorized as informal loans and loans from banks, land banks and employers were categorized as formal loans. (stokvel not included in this list)

gen informal=1 if owe1>0 & owe1!=.|owe6>0 & owe6!=.|owe11>0 & owe11!=.

(31241 missing values generated)

 

replace informal=0 if owe2>0 & owe2!=.|owe4>0 & owe4!=.|owe9>0 & owe9!=.

(2036 real changes made)

 

replace informal=1 if owe10>0 & owe10!=.

(6176 real changes made)

tab informal if house==1

 

     informal |      Freq.     Percent        Cum.

--------------+-----------------------------------

  Formal loan |        343        9.24        9.24

Informal loan |      3,368       90.76      100.00

--------------+-----------------------------------

        Total |      3,711      100.00

 

Variables of Interest-LFS (Top of page)

I used the labor force survey data from 2004 to compare credit access data from 1993. However, as this survey was different in scope compared to the earlier saldru survey, some of the variables of interest were missing. For example, the LFS data does not have any household debt data. Nevertheless, the LFS data has information on different sources from where households borrow money. Hence, I was able to make comparisons between the access to credit information between the two time periods.

The main variable of interest here in this dataset is " Q732" that asks households if they have borrowed from any particular source in the past 12 months. The "lookfor" command in STATA tells us the description of this variable.

A listing of different lending sources:

 

lookfor 732

 

              storage  display     value

variable name   type   format      label      variable label

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Q732FamM        byte   %10.0g                 Family Member

Q732Neig        byte   %10.0g                 Neighbour

Q732LocD        byte   %10.0g                 Local dealer/Shop

Q732Co_O        byte   %10.0g                 Co-operative

Q732ComB        byte   %10.0g                 Commercial bank or building

                                                society

Q732Land        byte   %10.0g                 Land bank

Q732GovA        byte   %10.0g                 Other government agency

Q732Stok        byte   %10.0g                 Stokvel

Q732NGO_        byte   %10.0g                 Non-governmental organization

Q732MnyL        byte   %10.0g                 Moneylender/Mashonosa

Q732ComF        byte   %10.0g                 Commercial Farmer

Q732Othr        byte   %10.0g                 Other Lender

 

I created a variable labeled "loans" to indicate houses with loans. I created this variable by counting the number of households that answered yes for borrowings from any one or more given sources of credit. In the LFS dataset, the household IDs are represented by the variable "UqNr".

sort UqNr
gen house=1 if UqNr!=UqNr[_n-1]

The above command creates a variable to count each household level variable only once. However, we have to sort by the household identification number before we create the household qualifier.

gen loans=1 if Q732FamM==1|Q732Neig==1|Q732LocD==1|Q732Co_O==1|Q732ComB==1|Q732Land==1|Q732GovA==1|Q732Stok==1|Q732NGO_==1|
Q732MnyL==1|Q732ComF==1|Q732Othr==1

replace loans=0 if loans!=1

I use similar variables to the saldru dataset to do the other comaprisons. I created a house variable to include each household only once in the analysis. To analyze by racial groups I use the variable "popgrp".

tab popgrp if house==1

       Race |      Freq.     Percent        Cum.
------------+-----------------------------------
          1 |     21,739       76.08       76.08
          2 |      3,463       12.12       88.21
          3 |        538        1.88       90.09
          4 |      2,800        9.80       99.89
          9 |         32        0.11      100.00
------------+-----------------------------------
      Total |     28,572      100.00

Similar to the Saldru dataset, I created an indictor for informal loans. It takes the value 1 for informal loans and 0 for formal loans.

gen informal=1 if Q732FamM==1|Q732Neig==1|Q732LocD==1|Q732MnyL==1
replace informal=0 if Q732Co_O==1|Q732ComB==1|Q732Land==1|Q732GovA==1|Q732NGO_==1
replace informal=1 if Q732Stok==1

tab informal if house==1

   informal |      Freq.     Percent        Cum.
------------+-----------------------------------
          0 |      1,693       17.18       17.18
          1 |      8,161       82.82      100.00
------------+-----------------------------------
      Total |      9,854      100.00

tab loans informal, row

+----------------+
| Key            |
|----------------|
|   frequency    |
| row percentage |
+----------------+

           |       informal
     loans |         0          1 |     Total
-----------+----------------------+----------
         1 |     5,903     34,139 |    40,042
           |     14.74      85.26 |    100.00
-----------+----------------------+----------
     Total |     5,903     34,139 |    40,042
           |     14.74      85.26 |    100.00

This shows that of all houeholds that borrowed, 85% borrowed from informal sources compared to only 15% from formal sources.

 

Exploring Data - Descriptive Statistics and Graphs (Top of Page)

 

This section contains comparisons in data between both the 1993 saldru dataset and the 2004 LFS dataset. The main commands used here are "tab" and "sum". The analysis in each subsection is divided based on the dataset used.

Saldru Data

sum haveloans if house==1

 

    Variable |       Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max

-------------+--------------------------------------------------------

   haveloans |      8854    .4571945    .4981925          0          1

The above command gives the basic summary statistics of the variable haveloans. Since the variable is a binary variable the mean here denotes the proportion of households that reported having borrowed from one of the lending sources. In 1993, 45% of houses reported having a loan. The "sum" command also gives the number of observation, standard deviation, minimum and maximum observed value for the variable of interest.

sum bond_owe if house==1, det

 

                 7 :amt owed on bond or loan

-------------------------------------------------------------

      Percentiles      Smallest

 1%           -4             -4

 5%           -2             -4

10%           -2             -4       Obs                8835

25%           -2             -4       Sum of Wgt.        8835

 

50%           -2                      Mean           7604.177

                        Largest       Std. Dev.      28842.23

75%           -2         300000

90%        18000         320000       Variance       8.32e+08

95%        62000         350000       Skewness       9.255908

99%       135000        1058000       Kurtosis       222.7534

The "sum" command can also be used to give a more detailed descriptive statistics by adding the option "detail" to it. So the above command shows a detailed descriptive statistics of the variable "bond_owe", the amount of household debt. The result above shows not only the mean and the std deviation of the variable but also gives other summaries such as percetile values, the four smallest observations and the four largest observations.

 

LFS Data

tab loans

      loans |      Freq.     Percent        Cum.
------------+-----------------------------------
          0 |     69,403       63.16       63.16
          1 |     40,485       36.84      100.00
------------+-----------------------------------
      Total |    109,888      100.00

About 37% of the sampled population reported having an outstanding loan in 2004 compared to about 48% in 1993. So there has been a reduction in the number of people reporting having a loan.

Due to the non availability of data on amount of debt for each household I could not comapre this between 1993 and 2004.

 

1. Race (Top of Page)

 

Saldru Data

To check if there are any differences in percentage of people borrowing money by race, we can run the following command.

tab race if house==1, sum(haveloans)

 

         19 |

:population |        Summary of haveloans

      group |        Mean   Std. Dev.       Freq.

------------+------------------------------------

   01-afric |   .42165101   .49386397        6069

   02-colou |   .69300912   .46159647         658

   03-india |   .62040816   .48627877         245

   04-white |   .46075085   .49866991        1172

------------+------------------------------------

      Total |   .45518173   .49801785        8144

The above command calculates the mean of haveloans for each racial group. Since haveloans is a binary variable, the means in this case are giving us the proportion of households that have a loan for each racial group.

To find out the mean amount owed by hosueholds in loans for different racial groups, we will follow the same procedure above but use the bond_owe variable in place of haveloans.

tab race if house==1, sum (bond_owe)

 

         19 |  Summary of 7 :amt owed on bond or

:population |                loan

      group |        Mean   Std. Dev.       Freq.

------------+------------------------------------

   01-afric |   950.48185   7560.7481        6060

   02-colou |   8757.0091   21560.315         658

   03-india |   18525.155    29697.22         245

   04-white |   34708.091   61129.303        1170

------------+------------------------------------

      Total |   6967.8055   28031.545        8133

The above table shows that the amount of money owed on average by households of different racial groups differs widely. Black households owe 950 Rand compared to 34, 708 Rand by White households.

LFS Data

tab popgrp loans if house==1, row

+----------------+
| Key            |
|----------------|
|   frequency    |
| row percentage |
+----------------+

           |         loans
      Race |         0          1 |     Total
-----------+----------------------+----------
         1 |    14,073      7,666 |    21,739
           |     64.74      35.26 |    100.00
-----------+----------------------+----------
         2 |     2,264      1,199 |     3,463
           |     65.38      34.62 |    100.00
-----------+----------------------+----------
         3 |       393        145 |       538
           |     73.05      26.95 |    100.00
-----------+----------------------+----------
         4 |     1,854        946 |     2,800
           |     66.21      33.79 |    100.00
-----------+----------------------+----------
         9 |        23          9 |        32
           |     71.88      28.13 |    100.00
-----------+----------------------+----------
     Total |    18,607      9,965 |    28,572
           |     65.12      34.88 |    100.00

The command "tab var..., row" gives the percentages for families with loans by racial group.

The distribution of percentage of households reporting having loans is similar for each racial group in 2004. 35% of black households reported having loans while 34% of white houeholds reported having loans. This is a small reduction from 1993 when 42% of black households reported taking loans and 46% of white households reported taking loans.

tab loans popgrp if house==1, row

+----------------+
| Key            |
|----------------|
|   frequency    |
| row percentage |
+----------------+

           |                          Race
     loans |         1          2          3          4          9 |     Total
-----------+-------------------------------------------------------+----------
         0 |    14,073      2,264        393      1,854         23 |    18,607
           |     75.63      12.17       2.11       9.96       0.12 |    100.00
-----------+-------------------------------------------------------+----------
         1 |     7,666      1,199        145        946          9 |     9,965
           |     76.93      12.03       1.46       9.49       0.09 |    100.00
-----------+-------------------------------------------------------+----------
     Total |    21,739      3,463        538      2,800         32 |    28,572
           |     76.08      12.12       1.88       9.80       0.11 |    100.00

This table above gives a breakdown by racial group for families that have loans and that do not have loans. As we can see from the above table, of all households with loans 76% of the loans were borrowed by black families compared to only 9% by white families. So in other words it gives the conditional probability of belonging to a particual racial group given a family has a loan.

 

Acess to credit from different sources (Top of Page):

To understand sources of borrowings better, we have to analyze borrowings from different sources by racial groups. We first should try to find the popular sources of borrowing. To do this we create indicator variables for each source as the variable "owe" tells us how much each house owes to the different sources.

Saldru Data

 

Coding for creating indicator variables for the different loan sources: The above code creates binary variables for the four common sources of lending in South Africa in 1993, i.e. banks, family members/friends, moneylenders, stokvels.

gen bank=1 if owe4>0 & owe4!=.

(42582 missing values generated)

replace bank=0 if bank!=1

(42582 real changes made)

 

gen mlender=1 if owe6>0 & owe6!=.

(43607 missing values generated)

replace mlender=0 if mlender!=1

(43607 real changes made)

 

gen friend=1 if owe1>0 & owe1!=.

(40256 missing values generated)

replace friend=0 if friend!=1

(40256 real changes made)

 

gen stokvel=1 if owe7>0 & owe7!=.

(43706 missing values generated)

replace stokvel=0 if stokvel!=1

(43706 real changes made)

Once we have the indicator variables for the different sources, we can graph them to compare the borrowing from different sources by race.

The graph above gives a clear indication that acess to formal sources of credit is available only to white households. Only 1.6% of black households reported having borrowed from a bank or a formal financial institution. Of the four sources, borrowing from family/friends was the most common form of credit. 20.5% of blackhouseholds reported having borrowed from a family member/ friend.

Family members

To find out more about individual borrowing patterns, we can use tab commands and pie charts to illustrate the differences in racial groups. The table shows that the amount owed to family members and friends by households of different races. Blacks and Coloured households seem to borrow a much smaller amount in comparison to Indian and White houses.

tab race if house==1, sum(owe1)

 

         19 |

:population |          Summary of 1 owe

      group |        Mean   Std. Dev.       Freq.

------------+------------------------------------

   01-afric |   362.68251   2139.0795         526

   02-colou |   800.29412   1610.3835          51

   03-india |       10772   19797.549          25

   04-white |   8408.8636   13464.191          66

------------+------------------------------------

      Total |   1580.6452   6675.4485         668

 

The pie chart above tells us that of all people borrowing from friends and family members, 79.2% were black households. So black households seem to rely heavily on informal credit acess through friends and family whereas only a small percentage of the other racial groups borrow money from friends or family. This clearly shows that the black houses depended heavily on informal credit.

Banks

On the other hand we can look at the percentage of houses by race that owed money to banks. The following table shows that the amount owed to banks for all racial groups is high compared to money owed by households using family and friends to borrow money from.

tab race if house==1, sum(owe4) (*money owed to banks)

          19 |

:population |          Summary of 4 owe

      group |        Mean   Std. Dev.       Freq.

------------+------------------------------------

   01-afric |   16907.773   21073.067          44

   02-colou |   12023.786   17126.321          42

   03-india |   8956.1111   10193.728          18

   04-white |   29516.921   58553.471         229

------------+------------------------------------

      Total |   24533.111   50113.538         333

 

banks

The pie chart above gives us information on the percentage of households borrowing from banks by race given that a household owed money to banks. So we can see that it was predominantly White households that borrowed from banks compared to other races in 1993.

We next move on to find the association between races and formal and informal loans.The table below tells us that of all households who had an informal loan, 74.22% were balck households, 11.99% were colored households, 4.36% were white households and 9.43% were white households.

tab race informal if house==1, col

 +-------------------+

| Key               |

|-------------------|

|     frequency     |

| column percentage |

+-------------------+

         19 |

:populatio |       informal

   n group | Formal lo  Informal  |     Total

-----------+----------------------+----------

  01-afric |        74      2,297 |     2,371

           |     24.50      74.22 |     69.80

-----------+----------------------+----------

  02-colou |        42        371 |       413

           |     13.91      11.99 |     12.16

-----------+----------------------+----------

  03-india |        13        135 |       148

           |      4.30       4.36 |      4.36

-----------+----------------------+----------

  04-white |       173        292 |       465

           |     57.28       9.43 |     13.69

-----------+----------------------+----------

     Total |       302      3,095 |     3,397

           |    100.00     100.00 |    100.00

formal

LFS Data

 

Banks

tab loans Q732ComB if house==1, row

+----------------+
| Key            |
|----------------|
|   frequency    |
| row percentage |
+----------------+

           |   Commercial bank or building
           |             society
     loans |         1          2          9 |     Total
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         0 |         0     18,598         30 |    18,628
           |      0.00      99.84       0.16 |    100.00
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         1 |     1,356      8,608          2 |     9,966
           |     13.61      86.37       0.02 |    100.00
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
     Total |     1,356     27,206         32 |    28,594
           |      4.74      95.15       0.11 |    100.00

This table above shows that of all families reporting borrowing money, only 13.6% were able to get loans from commerical banks and building societies.

tab popgrp Q732ComB if house==1 & loans==1, row

+----------------+
| Key            |
|----------------|
|   frequency    |
| row percentage |
+----------------+

           |   Commercial bank or building
           |             society
      Race |         1          2          9 |     Total
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         1 |       456      7,208          2 |     7,666
           |      5.95      94.03       0.03 |    100.00
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         2 |       231        968          0 |     1,199
           |     19.27      80.73       0.00 |    100.00
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         3 |        63         82          0 |       145
           |     43.45      56.55       0.00 |    100.00
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         4 |       603        343          0 |       946
           |     63.74      36.26       0.00 |    100.00
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         9 |         3          6          0 |         9
           |     33.33      66.67       0.00 |    100.00
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
     Total |     1,356      8,607          2 |     9,965
           |     13.61      86.37       0.02 |    100.00

When we further break it apart by race, we find that of all households having access to credit from banks, only 6% were black households compared to 63% white houses.

graph pie famloan if house==1 & famloan==100, over(popgrp) angle(90) pie( 1, explode color(emerald)) plabel(1 percent, size(medsmall) orientation(horizontal) color(white) format(%9.2f)) plabel(2 percent, size(medsmall) orientation(vertical) color(white) format(%9.2f)) plabel(4 percent, size(medsmall) orientation(vertical) color(white) format(%9.2f)) title(Percentage of all loans from family members by racial groups, size(medsmall)) note(LFS 2004) legend(order(1 "Africans" 2 "Coloured" 3 "Indians" 4 "Whites" 5 "Others"))

 

 

The above bar chart gives a graphical description of percetage of families by race borrowing from banks in 2004.

Family members

tab popgrp Q732FamM  if house==1 & loans==1, row

+----------------+
| Key            |
|----------------|
|   frequency    |
| row percentage |
+----------------+

           |          Family Member
      Race |         1          2          9 |     Total
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         1 |     2,909      4,756          1 |     7,666
           |     37.95      62.04       0.01 |    100.00
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         2 |       301        898          0 |     1,199
           |     25.10      74.90       0.00 |    100.00
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         3 |        47         98          0 |       145
           |     32.41      67.59       0.00 |    100.00
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         4 |       132        814          0 |       946
           |     13.95      86.05       0.00 |    100.00
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         9 |         4          5          0 |         9
           |     44.44      55.56       0.00 |    100.00
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
     Total |     3,393      6,571          1 |     9,965
           |     34.05      65.94       0.01 |    100.00

We now look at borrowings from family members and friends by race. As it is evident from the above table, more black and coloured households tend to borrow from famliy members than white households. Approximately 38% of black households and 25% coloured households borrow from family members while only 14% of white families borrow from family members or friends.

A graphhical representation of the table is given below:

graph bar (mean) famloan if house==1 & loans==1, over(popgrp, relabel(1 "Africans" 2 "Coloured" 3 "Indians" 4 "Whites" 5 "Others")) bar(1, bfcolor(bluishgray) blcolor(black)) bar(2, bfcolor(bluishgray) blcolor(black)) bar(3, bfcolor(bluishgray) blcolor(black)) bar(4, bfcolor(bluishgray) blcolor(black)) bar(5, bfcolor(bluishgray) blcolor(black)) blabel(bar, color(black) format(%9.2f)) ytitle(Percentage borrowing loans, margin(medsmall)) title(Percentage of households borrowing loans from family by race, size(medium)) note(LFS 2004)

We can analyze this further by calculating what precetage of each racial group borrows from family members. So we calculate the probability of being in each racial group given a house has a loan from a family member or friend.

tab popgrp Q732FamM  if house==1 & loans==1, col

+-------------------+
| Key               |
|-------------------|
|     frequency     |
| column percentage |
+-------------------+

           |          Family Member
      Race |         1          2          9 |     Total
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         1 |     2,909      4,756          1 |     7,666
           |     85.74      72.38     100.00 |     76.93
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         2 |       301        898          0 |     1,199
           |      8.87      13.67       0.00 |     12.03
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         3 |        47         98          0 |       145
           |      1.39       1.49       0.00 |      1.46
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         4 |       132        814          0 |       946
           |      3.89      12.39       0.00 |      9.49
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         9 |         4          5          0 |         9
           |      0.12       0.08       0.00 |      0.09
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
     Total |     3,393      6,571          1 |     9,965
           |    100.00     100.00     100.00 |    100.00

 

So we can see from the above table that 85% of family member loans are given to black households. So black families depend more on borrowing from family and friends as they have limited access to other forms of credit. In comaprison, only 4% of white households were taking money from their family members or friends.

The following pie chart shows this in graphical form:

graph pie famloan if house==1 & famloan==100, over(popgrp) angle(90) pie( 1, explode color(emerald)) plabel(1 percent, size(medsmall) orientation(horizontal) color(white) format(%9.2f)) plabel(2 percent, size(medsmall) orientation(vertical) color(white) format(%9.2f)) plabel(4 percent, size(medsmall) orientation(vertical) color(white) format(%9.2f)) title(Percentage of all loans from family members by racial groups, size(medsmall)) note(LFS 2004) legend(order(1 "Africans" 2 "Coloured" 3 "Indians" 4 "Whites" 5 "Others"))

 

 

Money lenders

tab popgrp Q732MnyL   if house==1 & loans==1, row

+----------------+
| Key            |
|----------------|
|   frequency    |
| row percentage |
+----------------+

           |      Moneylender/Mashonosa
      Race |         1          2          9 |     Total
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         1 |       798      6,867          1 |     7,666
           |     10.41      89.58       0.01 |    100.00
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         2 |        98      1,101          0 |     1,199
           |      8.17      91.83       0.00 |    100.00
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         3 |         2        143          0 |       145
           |      1.38      98.62       0.00 |    100.00
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         4 |         5        941          0 |       946
           |      0.53      99.47       0.00 |    100.00
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         9 |         0          9          0 |         9
           |      0.00     100.00       0.00 |    100.00
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
     Total |       903      9,061          1 |     9,965
           |      9.06      90.93       0.01 |    100.00

The above table shows that the amount of borrowing from money lenders is relatively low compared to the borrowing from family members or banks for most racial groups. only 10.41% of black households reported borrowing money from money lenders whereas a minute percentage of white families borrowed from money lenders.

graph bar (mean) mlenderloan if house==1 & loans==1, over(popgrp, relabel(1 "Africans" 2 "Coloured" 3 "Indians" 4 "Whites" 5 "Others")) bar(1, bfcolor(bluishgray) blcolor(black)) bar(2, bfcolor(bluishgray) blcolor(black)) bar(3, bfcolor(bluishgray) blcolor(black)) bar(4, bfcolor(bluishgray) blcolor(black)) bar(5, bfcolor(bluishgray) blcolor(black)) blabel(bar, color(black) format(%9.2f)) ytitle(Percentage borrowing loans, margin(medsmall)) title(Percentage of households borrowing loans from moneylender by race, size(medium)) note(LFS 2004)

Looking at the percentage of households borrowing from money lenders by race given a house has a loan from a moneylender, we see that 88% of all moneylender loans go to black households. In this case, we basically shrink our sample size. We only look at households that have borrowed from a money lender.

tab popgrp Q732MnyL   if house==1 & loans==1, col

+-------------------+
| Key               |
|-------------------|
|     frequency     |
| column percentage |
+-------------------+

           |      Moneylender/Mashonosa
      Race |         1          2          9 |     Total
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         1 |       798      6,867          1 |     7,666
           |     88.37      75.79     100.00 |     76.93
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         2 |        98      1,101          0 |     1,199
           |     10.85      12.15       0.00 |     12.03
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         3 |         2        143          0 |       145
           |      0.22       1.58       0.00 |      1.46
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         4 |         5        941          0 |       946
           |      0.55      10.39       0.00 |      9.49
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
         9 |         0          9          0 |         9
           |      0.00       0.10       0.00 |      0.09
-----------+---------------------------------+----------
     Total |       903      9,061          1 |     9,965
           |    100.00     100.00     100.00 |    100.00

graph pie mlenderloan if house==1 & mlenderloan==100, over(popgrp) angle(90) plabel(1 percent, color(white)format(%9.2f)) plabel(2 percent, color(white)) title(Percentage of all loans borrowed from moneylenders byrace, size(medium)) note(LFS 2004) legend(order(1 "Africans" 2 "Coloured" 3 "Indians" 4 "Whites"))

 

I then created a series of indicator variables for borrowings from different sources and compared it by race.

recode Q732ComB (1=1) (2=0), gen(bankloan)
(27206 differences between Q732ComB and bankloan)

recode Q732FamM (1=1) (2=0), gen(famloan)
(25171 differences between Q732FamM and famloan)

recode Q732MnyL    (1=1) (2=0), gen(mlenderloan)
(27657 differences between Q732MnyL and mlenderloan)

recode Q732Stok (1=1) (2=0), gen(stokvelloan)
(28244 differences between Q732Stok and stokvelloan)

In this case, I only coded the four prominent forms of borrowing in South Africa. Instead of having the values 1 and 2 for a "yes" and "no" answer, I coded a "yes" as 1 and a "no" as 0.

graph bar (mean) bankloan (mean) famloan (mean) mlenderloan (mean) stokvelloan if house==1 & loans==1, over(popgrp, relabel(1 "Africans" 2 "Coloured" 3 "Indians" 4 "Whites" 5 "Others")) bar(1, blcolor(black)) bar(2, blcolor(black)) bar(3, blcolor(black)) bar(4, blcolor(black)) bar(5, blcolor(black)) blabel(bar, color(black) format(%9.1f)) ytitle(Percentage borrowing loans, margin(medsmall)) title(Percentage of households borrowing loans from different sources by race, size(medium)) note(LFS 2004) legend(order(1 "Bank" 2 "Family" 3 "Moneylender" 4 "Stokvel"))

Above graph compares borrowing reported from different  credit sources by race. Family member borrowing is most common form of credit access to most families. 38% of balck families said they borrowed from a family member compared to 14% for whites. The percentage of families getting bank loans by race were also different with only 6% of black households receiving loans from banks compared to 63.7% of white households.

I also divided the lending sources into two categories - formal and informal sources. I then was able to compare the difference in credit access by race for formal and informal loans.

gen informal=1 if Q732FamM==1|Q732Neig==1|Q732LocD==1|Q732MnyL==1
replace informal=0 if Q732Co_O==1|Q732ComB==1|Q732Land==1|Q732GovA==1|Q732NGO_==1
replace informal=1 if Q732Stok==1
label def informal 0 "Formal" 1 "Informal"
label val informal informal

tab informal if house==1

   informal |      Freq.     Percent        Cum.
------------+-----------------------------------
          0 |      1,693       17.18       17.18
          1 |      8,161       82.82      100.00
------------+-----------------------------------
      Total |      9,854      100.00

Of all house that reported having a loan, 83% borrowed from informal sources compared to only 17% who borrowed from formal sources.

graph pie loans if house==1 & loans==1, over(informal) angle(90) plabel(_all percent, color(white) format(%9.1f)) title(Percentage of households with fromal and informal loans, size(medlarge)) note(LFS 2004) legend(order(1 "Formal loan" 2 "Informal loan"))

 

 

Dividing the formal and informal lending by racial groups, shows us that more black households borrow from informal sources compared to the other racial groups. 84% of black households borrow from informal sources compared to 3% of whites.

tab popgrp informal if house==1, col

+-------------------+
| Key               |
|-------------------|
|     frequency     |
| column percentage |
+-------------------+

           |       informal
      Race |         0          1 |     Total
-----------+----------------------+----------
         1 |       702      6,881 |     7,583
           |     41.46      84.33 |     76.96
-----------+----------------------+----------
         2 |       256        920 |     1,176
           |     15.12      11.27 |     11.94
-----------+----------------------+----------
         3 |        73         71 |       144
           |      4.31       0.87 |      1.46
-----------+----------------------+----------
         4 |       658        283 |       941
           |     38.87       3.47 |      9.55
-----------+----------------------+----------
         9 |         4          5 |         9
           |      0.24       0.06 |      0.09
-----------+----------------------+----------
     Total |     1,693      8,160 |     9,853
           |    100.00     100.00 |    100.00

graph pie if house==1 & loans==1, over(popgrp) angle(90) by(informal, title(Percentage borrowing from formal and infornal sources by race, size(medsmall)) note(LFS 2004)) plabel(1 percent, color(white) format(%9.2f)) plabel(2 percent, color(white) format(%9.2f)) plabel(4 percent, orientation(vertical) color(white) format(%9.2f)) legend(order(1 "Africans" 2 "Coloured" 3 "Indians" 4 "Whites" 5 "Others"))

 

Comparing the data from 1993 and 2004, we find that the percentage of balck households that have access to formal credit has increased in the 11 years from 24.5% to 41.5%. However, on the other hand the percentage of balck households borrowing money from informal sources has also gone up in this time period from 74% to 84%.

2. Income and household debt (Top of page)

 

Saldru Data

Let us now look at the relationship between household total monthly income and the debt they have. The total monthly household income is coded as "totminc ".

First let us find out what the mean total monthly income of households in debt is:

sum totminc if house==1 & haveloans==1,d

                      total monthy income

-------------------------------------------------------------

      Percentiles      Smallest

 1%            0      -4833.333

 5%     118.4833              0

10%       259.25              0       Obs                3921

25%     524.1642              0       Sum of Wgt.        3921

50%     1132.457                      Mean           2256.977

                        Largest       Std. Dev.      4787.539

75%         2537          39700

90%     5616.667          45640       Variance       2.29e+07

95%     7711.667       107863.1       Skewness       23.87753

99%      13702.5       207146.5       Kurtosis       922.6451

tab race if house==1 & haveloans==1, sum(totminc)

          19 |

:population |   Summary of total monthy income

      group |        Mean   Std. Dev.       Freq.

------------+------------------------------------

   01-afric |   1117.9766    1295.604        2513

   02-colou |   2039.6831   1599.2119         426

   03-india |   3422.5004   2501.7789         146

   04-white |   6741.7541   11207.721         506

------------+------------------------------------

      Total |   2113.4483   4814.8908        3591

 

The above table gives the total monthly income of hosueholds that have loans. The table shows us that the mean monthly household income is much smaller for blacks compared to White households. However, it would be better to divide income into quartiles and then check the source of credit for different income quartiles by race. The command we use for recoding of a variable is "recode".

recode totminc (0/430=1 "1st quartile") (430/907=2 "2nd quartile") (907/2025=3 "3rd quartile") (2025/max=4 "4th quartile") if totminc!=. & totminc>=0, gen(incomequartile)

The above command recodes the total monthly household income variable and puts them into 4 categories. Households with total income between 0-430 Rand are classified as 1st quartile, 430-907 are classified as 2nd quartile and so on. This command categorizes the variables and then stores them under a new variable named "incomequartile"

tab race incomequartile if  house==1, sum(owe1)

 

            Means, Standard Deviations and Frequencies of 1 owe

 

        19 |

:populatio | RECODE of totminc (total monthy income)

   n group | 1st quart  2nd quart  3rd quart  4th quart |     Total

-----------+--------------------------------------------+----------

  01-afric | 232.03349  210.89759  319.73394  1711.1613 | 332.81748

           | 485.18928  333.81776  412.70368  8042.7096 | 2016.3755

           |       209        166        109         31 |       515

-----------+--------------------------------------------+----------

  02-colou |   188.375  290.28571  688.26087       1333 | 681.22917

           | 349.13073  158.01025  1052.2699  2196.4533 | 1271.9978

           |         8          7         23         10 |        48

-----------+--------------------------------------------+----------

  03-india |      5000      10000       2870  18844.444 |     10150

           |         0          0  4340.0077  29611.278 | 20025.026

           |         1          2         10          9 |        22

-----------+--------------------------------------------+----------

  04-white |      6550  1943.3333     2610.6  11644.769 | 8612.0492

           | 4634.2925  2653.6076  3911.0168   16331.53 | 13830.737

           |         4          3         15         39 |        61

-----------+--------------------------------------------+----------

     Total | 365.77477  353.20787  755.03185  7754.1798 |  1474.822

           | 1150.8269  1139.2237  1866.6351  15945.777 | 6533.0591

           |       222        178        157         89 |       646

 

The above table is a cross tab of race and income quartiles with the amount owed by households to family/friends. It is clear that black households borrow more from family members as the observations for black households is much larger when compared to the other racial groups.

Similarly, we can graph the proportion of families that have access to credit from bank and compare by income quartiles. As we would expect, a higher proportion of families from the upper quartile report owing money to banks compared to the lower quartiles.

incomes

The above graph once again illustrates that more rich white and Indian households have access to bank credit than black households. Only 4% of black houses who belong to the upper quartile said they owed money to banks compared to 20% of white households. However, this graph also shows that black and colored houses belonging to both the first and second income quartiles do not have access to bank credit.

We can also classify the households into poor and nonpoor. I classified households with total monthly income less than half of the median income as poor. We must first find the median income total monthly household income. We can use the "codebook" command to find the median and then generate a new variable to categorize households as poor or nonpoor.

codebook totminc if house==1

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

totminc                                                                            total monthy income

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                   type:  numeric (float)

               &nbs